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Lyapunov time

(timescale beyond which a dynamical system is chaotic)

The Lyapunov time of a dynamical system is a timescale after which it is unpredictable, i.e., chaotic. Within astronomy, systems of orbiting bodies (such as the Earth and the Moon) are subject to such a timescale. The Lyapunov exponent is the timescale's inverse. Theory provides methods to calculate Lyapunov times, but the calculations can be unstable and producing a consistent, repeatable determination is a challenge. Some example determinations:

solar system50 million years
Pluto's orbit20 million years
Kepler 36 (star with exoplanets)3000 days

Lack of a consensus proof of the solar system's long-term stability despite a presumed lifetime of gigayears has been a motivation for research.


(physics,dynamics,mathematics,chaos,timescale)
Further reading:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lyapunov_time
http://fy.chalmers.se/~f99krgu/dynsys/DynSysLecture10.pdf
https://www.pnas.org/content/98/22/12342

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